Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 89.228994 99.490618 109.973333 121.452730 133.640323 146.165527 159.982174
2024-12-22 72.635358 87.356805 103.057600 120.927419 140.584186 161.437805 185.124809
2024-12-29 63.772156 81.115093 100.196125 122.499906 147.618872 174.816477 206.277167
2025-01-05 57.407020 76.720496 98.549521 124.641427 154.595320 187.557298 226.229048
2025-01-12 50.461789 70.884445 94.590275 123.539101 157.374199 195.163383 240.066239
2025-01-19 43.768747 64.718665 89.699794 120.853546 157.896050 199.846938 250.283510
2025-01-26 41.350417 63.562014 90.583158 124.798065 165.979261 213.072597 270.151687
2025-02-02 38.716145 61.880221 90.624687 127.563134 172.542113 224.450809 287.841829
2025-02-09 34.622250 57.972957 87.631874 126.396597 174.221816 229.979059 298.636071
2025-02-16 30.974750 54.374371 84.794198 125.214411 175.710182 235.147244 308.902174
2025-02-23 28.578580 52.307081 83.784082 126.199143 179.744225 243.270476 322.598125
2025-03-02 26.068233 49.884031 82.153717 126.267008 182.548080 249.849724 334.418358
2025-03-09 24.001541 47.987732 81.162926 127.137153 186.374952 257.731045 347.908848
2025-03-16 21.392922 45.080142 78.644121 125.893463 187.459754 262.229355 357.323474
2025-03-23 19.978560 43.890672 78.418025 127.609034 192.246724 271.224805 372.143273
2025-03-30 18.824412 43.019332 78.574857 129.789440 197.600417 280.908788 387.806343
2025-04-06 16.805860 40.575640 76.357411 128.661551 198.616128 285.174239 396.847464
2025-04-13 14.537034 37.496403 73.051124 125.907488 197.408386 286.587705 402.337036
2025-04-20 14.202911 37.745153 74.663743 129.951997 205.108640 299.166385 421.559028
2025-04-27 13.591384 37.446799 75.422016 132.786389 211.211173 309.746800 438.344755
2025-05-04 12.078164 35.365566 73.369831 131.590676 211.919204 313.483489 446.655126
2025-05-11 10.695079 33.382748 71.365429 130.378814 212.541515 317.066257 454.743863
2025-05-18 9.884561 32.435633 70.935496 131.388273 216.121826 324.405991 467.509927